Thursday, 12 July 2012

The Power of SCOTUS

Found this in an Atlantic article, and it’s is an incredible statistic:

“The Affordable Care Act, according to a Washington Post/ABC News survey, is now backed by 47 percent of Americans, up from 39 percent in April 2012. Opposition to the law in the wake of the Supreme Court decision upholding it is also down, from 53 to 47 percent.”

The WaPo/ABC polling service is, according to the article, “the most accurate” polling outfit, so this could be a considerable boon for the President. It’s also an incredible statement on the power of the Supreme Court. And 8% bump in popularity because the Supreme Court ruled that Obamacare was constitutional. Garance Franke-Ruta, the author of the article, suggests that the increased support came from Democrats who had originally been dissatisfied with the Act:

“Democratic unhappiness with the bill is more likely to have softened than GOP objections since it was upheld.”

However, I think it is possible that some independents and moderate Republicans, who genuinely were concerned about the Constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, may now be taking the Supreme Court’s lead and accepting that it is constitutional. Some Democrats will, of course, have come around, but if they were “dissatisfied” with the Act before the Roberts Court took a look at it, then I don’t understand how they will all of a sudden be satisfied with it? Nothing’s changed with the Act…

Franke-Ruta does, however, offer some evidence from the Washington Post that “independents don’t really like what either candidate is offering”, so maybe not so many independents have been brought into the fold.


[Photo from the Atlantic piece, but sourced from Reuters originally.]

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